Of course the one time I don’t go against Iowa, they go out and lay a giant turd against Michigan State. Speaking of turds, my 1-2 record last week thanks to Rutgers losing a huge lead at SMU, and Penn State’s return to glory running into the buzzsaw that is the Indiana Hoosiers, was rather embarrassing. But enough about that, on to this week’s picks.
The first game that caught my eye this week is the annual Red River Shootout between Oklahoma and Texas. The rivalry at the Texas State Fair dates back to the turn of the previous century, and thankfully is still played at the old Cotton Bowl and not Jerry Jones’s palace, giving the game the feel of a good old fashioned rivalry game, and not some video game played on a giant TV video board. As many now know, Texas isn’t very good this year. Oklahoma is getting 13.5 points this week, and has been the case the past 2 meetings between these two teams, Bob Stoops is not one to take his foot off the gas, even when the game gets out of hand. I see OU winning by 20+ points this week.
The next game I like is Northwestern getting 10.5 points in Madison this weekend against the Badgers of Wisconsin. With Wisconsin having an off week last weekend, the two teams share a similar last opponent, Ohio State. Now I am not a huge fan of comparing results against a common opponent as the be-all and end-all of a head to head preview, but both teams played Ohio State pretty well, with Wisconsin losing by a touchdown, and Northwestern losing by 10, although both scores are a little misleading. After a tough matchup last week against the Buckeye’s, I don’t see Northwestern coming into Camp Randall and winning the game outright, especially against a well-rested Badger squad, but 10.5 points is a lot, and the Wildcats should be able to keep it out of the double digits.
The last game I like on Saturday is Baylor giving up 17.5 to Kansas State, on the road in Manhattan. While Baylor hasn’t exactly played a murderer’s row of teams so far this season, you can about set your watch to them scoring 70 points a week. While Baylor is putting up scores like a Tecmo Bowl video game, Kansas State is uncharacteristically below average this year. The Wildcats turned the ball over 5 times last week in loss to Oklahoma State, a game that was played in Stillwater and where Kansas State kept with the Cowboys all game. The problem that KSU is going to run into this week is the efficiency that is the Baylor offense, and their ability to score nearly (if not every) time they touch the ball. I don’t see the Bears putting up 70 this week (but seriously, don’t count them out) but I also don’t see the Wildcats being able to keep up with the Baylor offense.
Reviewing this week’s picks:
Oklahoma -13.5 over Texas
Northwestern +10.5 over Wisconsin
Baylor -17.5 over Kansas State
Good luck! Sorry about the briefness of this week’s post, I’ve been in Houston for a couple days for work and it’s going to take a while to wash this Texas stink off me. I’ll try to do better next week, I promise.